Expert Savings Advice

US Banks Are In Trouble! Don’t let their mistakes affect your financial situation!

Banks serve a tremendous purpose in this world.

They take in individuals deposits and pool them together to lend them to businesses or individuals who need the capital for a business opportunity they have. This business opportunity could be a company that wants to expand or an individual who wants to buy a home.

The more that people save, the more money that is in the banking system and this increased money leads to more loans and more economic growth. This growth is natural and healthy because people’s savings represent capital they could use in the future for more purchases. Thus, when a business borrows more money and invests that capital to be able to manufacture more goods it is a smart decision because people already have more money saved to spend on these goods.

This becomes a healthy circular formula that is summarized as such: “higher savings” leads to “more loans to businesses” which leads to “more business investment” which leads to “great consumer choices” and of course more jobs are created along the way which further fuels the economy forward.

Well, most of us are aware that the rate of US savings was actually negative last year, meaning we spent more than we made. This is down from saving 7.5% of our salaries only 30 years ago. So we see that this current economic boom has not been built upon by people’s savings.

On the other hand, economies also grow when interest rates are set artificially low as they were set in the US. These low rates spurred the real estate bubble to new, incredible prices never before seen in the US and the world. And the amazing thing is that there is no economic justification for these high home prices outside of the herd mentality thinking that prices will keep going up.

Well, we have passed that point and are now seeing decreasing prices and increasing inventories of homes available for sale.

The problem with banks is that they get caught up in the herd mentality as well, increasing the amount of money they lend for people to buy homes. And not only that, they are doing so in a riskier and riskier fashion using adjustable rate mortgages.

Currently, US commercial banks face incredible risks because over 60% of their total earning assets are mortgage-related!!! Let me repeat that, over 60% of US commercial bank’s assets are mortgage related – a postwar record high.

As a result of the above risks faced by banks any problems happening in the real estate market would have strong negative ramifications for the US banking system. As an example, the Japanese banking system was crippled after the boom of the 1980’s when they concentrated much of their capital in real estate. Japan spent the following 14 years in an economic doldrum and is now just beginning to see the light of day.

Now that interest rates are going up, and will continue going up, people who used adjustable mortgages are feeling the pinch of increasing monthly mortgage payments. As a result, foreclosure rates are up 38% over last year and bank’s bottom lines are feeling this pinch.

Billionaire Warren Buffet recently said that he has been studying recent bank balance sheets and is very concerned about the growing number of defaults on their books.

The point is that even though banks aren’t prepared and well diversified it means that you should be even more so! How to prepare yourself is discussed in detail in the recently issued eReport entitled “Recession – How To Survive and Thrive”.

Critical illness insurance:

Critical illness insurance will cover you in the event of a serious illness such as cancer, coronary artery by-pass surgery, heart attack, kidney failure, major organ transplant, multiple sclerosis and stroke. Additional conditions covered by this insurance can include aorta graft surgery, benign brain tumour, blindness, coma, deafness, heart valve replacement or repair, loss of limbs, loss of speech, motor neurone disease, paralysis/paraplegia, Parkinsons disease, terminal illness and third degree burns. Not all insurance companies will necessarily cover all of these illnesses, whilst some insurance companies will cover more; it is always worth reading the terms and conditions before you sign anything.

Critical illness insurance policies typically offer a tax-free lump sum if you are diagnosed with one of the above illnesses and meet the conditions outlined in the policy contract. The lump sum is most often used to cover the remainder of the mortgage, although can be spent on home alterations or medical care etc.

Life insurance:

Life insurance is usually taken out if your family or partner is financially dependent on your income. Life insurance can also be purchased as life assurance and in this form, can offer a method of protection cover and savings. However, most people simply use it as a form of financial protection for their mortgage and therefore their family. There are three main types of life insurance: term insurance, whole life insurance and endowment insurance. More information can be found on these forms of life insurance on the Association of British Insurers website, listed in the resources section of this article.

Mortgage life insurance:

Mortgage life insurance is essentially the same as a decreasing (lump-sum) term life insurance policy and is designed to pay out a lump sum upon the death of the policy holder, should it occur during the term of the mortgage. The size of the lump sum will decrease over the term of the life insurance policy, in the line with the outstanding mortgage repayments. E.g. As you pay off your mortgage, the amount of cover will decrease as the need is less significant.

Mortgage protection:

Mortgage protection, also called mortgage payment protection, is a type of insurance that can help protect mortgage payments and associated household costs in the event of unemployment, illness or an accident. Through mortgage payment protection, you can insure your monthly mortgage payment, monthly life premiums and the monthly cost of your buildings and content insurance. Typical mortgage protection cover could include:

* Unemployment and disability insurance cover

* Accident or sickness

* Unemployment only insurance cover

* Disability only insurance cover

Loan payment protection:

Loan payment protection policies are designed to protect the repayments to any loans you may have taken out. They work on a similar basis to mortgage payment protection, but for a wider scope of borrowing. Premiums for loan payment may be greater than those for mortgage protection.

Income protection:

In the event of unemployment, sickness or an accident, income protection insurance offers a limited income. Do make sure you understand the terms of the policy however, as the income that you received through cover may be significantly less than the income you receive through employment.

Private medical insurance:

Private medical insurance is a policy which will provide financial cover for medical treatment in the event of an acute condition. According to the Association of British Insurers, the majority of insurers define an acute condition as a disease, illness or injury that is likely to respond quickly to treatment which aims to return you to the state of health you were in, immediately before suffering the disease, illness or injury, or which leads to your full recovery.

Private medical insurance provides reassurance for people who know that treatment is available promptly should they become ill or injured.

Resources:

http://www.abi.org.uk/ The Association of British Insurers

http://www.moneynet.co.uk/insurance/index.shtml Consumer Insurance Comparison Research

http://www.moneynet.co.uk/home-car-travel-insurance-guide/index.shtml Insurance Guide

I am eligible to retire from my current job on April 4, 2010. And that is the day that life without work begins.

My retirement will be different than most in that my monthly take home will increase over the years. This is due to a government pension, military retirement and social security.

When I hit 57 years and 4 months, I will be able to call it quits. I will have 5 years working with the US government and will be eligible for a small pension. It will not be enough to live on, but I also have a Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) which is very similar to a 401(k). Unlike the 401(k), I can withdraw my TSP when I retire as long as I am at least 55 years old. I will use this to supplement the small pension.

I also have a 401(k) that I invested in while I was a government contractor for 5 years. I can start making withdrawals at 59 and must have it depleted by 70 .

Once I hit the ripe old age of 60, I become eligible for my US Army Reserves retirement. This will triple my monthly income and make living a lot better. Then, at 62, I can add in my Social Security. I can also defer this until 66 or 70. I will have to crunch the numbers to see which one is most beneficial and find the break even points.

I also plan on selling my house when I initially retire and will use this money to purchase my retirement home in Thailand. Yes, I will leave Hawaii and move to Khon Kaen, Thailand. The cost of living is way less than Hawaii and I will be able to live out my golden years easily.

Add into this mix, I live online and make some money marketing on the Internet. I make money from ads and banners, affiliate hotel rooms, credit cards and a few more. This will provide beer money for me and keep me occupied.

For most retirees, their money starts to dwindle as they get older. For me, at least for the first five years, it increases. Plus, I still have some “gravy money” in my 401(k) and some other investments.

All of this didnt happen overnight. And it didnt happen because I saved for 40 years. Granted, the military retirement is based on 30 years service, but all the rest is over the past 7 years. Contributing to a 401(k) and now to my TSP makes it easy to see that I will be taken care or, and that I wont be a burden on my family.

I look forward to that day when I can walk away from my desk and never have to return. Starting work at age 12 with my paper route and being able to retire at age 57 is a long time but not as long as those who have to wait until 65.

Right now I put in the absolute IRS maximum allowed into my retirement fund and add as much as I can to my mortgage payment in hopes of paying it off early.

It may be hard to save when you are young and plan for retirement, but, trust me, it is well worth it. You want to have everything all set up once your work days are over.

Annuities may be a useful tool for those who want a steady stream of income throughout their lives. While most annuities include a death benefit, an annuity is almost the opposite of a life insurance policy – annuities offer financial protection against outliving your income.

Buying an annuity can be a complicated decision. Following are a few key considerations for buyers before deciding whether to purchase annuity policies:

* Review all of your other savings plans, pensions or retirement funds to determine whether you need an annuity and whether the annuity you are considering is the right one for you based on your age, financial status, investment objective and risk tolerance. Is there a possibility that you could outlive your assets? Will you keep the annuity long enough so that the charges do not eat up your investment?

* Determine whether you want your investment to be steady and fixed or variable. While variable products offer an opportunity to capitalize on market highs, they also carry additional risk in a downturn.

* Be careful about exchanging one variable product for another. For instance, exchanging a variable annuity for a fixed or equity-indexed product may result in a “surrender charge” and higher annual fees, along with a new period of time during which you cannot withdraw money from your account without substantial surrender charges. Always check the schedule of surrender charges and other fees. They may be higher on the variable annuity with the bonus credit than they were on the annuity you already own.

* Make certain the company from which you are considering buying an annuity product is reputable. A good place to start is to look for the Insurance Marketplace Standards Association logo. Only companies that have proven through extensive outside review that they adhere to IMSA’s stringent Principles and Code of Ethical Market Conduct can display this logo.

What types of annuities are available?

There are basically two types of annuities fixed and variable.

A fixed annuity earns an assured interest rate in a definite period of time. If the period of times expires, there will be a new interest rate for the next period.

Variable annuities have more funding options than fixed annuities since their performance depends on the option of investment of the principal and return vary.

What is a tax-deferred annuity?

Tax-deferred annuity allows you to not pay taxes until after you make a withdrawal or until you start receiving an annuity. Having a tax-deferred annuity permits you to collect a bigger amount of money over an extended period of time.

What is the difference between a fixed and variable annuity?

Fixed annuities are investments from government securities and corporate bonds. They are offered a fixed or guaranteed rate usually over a period of one to ten years. So, when you receive payments, the monthly release of funds is set to a fixed amount and already guaranteed. This type of investment is preferred by investors who value safety and stability of their money and for those retirees who want their money to be protected against the possible instabilities of the stock market.

Variable annuities allow you to put your investment into a variety of securities like money market securities and interest accounts offering fixed rates. Stock market performance will decide the annuitys value and the return of your money that you have invested. Though there is a great risk because of unprecedented movement of stocks in the market, some still consider investing in a variable annuity because they are comfortable of fluctuations in the market and get rid of their investment in static position.

What are deferred and immediate annuities?

A deferred annuity is a pay-out plan offered to investors who are willing to receive payments at some later date, commonly at the retirement of the investor. This type of pay-out is advantageous for long-term retirement plans for the following reasons:

Deferred income taxes payment until withdrawal of the money
No limits on yearly annuity contributions
Death benefits are readily available. If the investor dies before he collects his annuity, the beneficiaries get the amount you have put in plus investments earnings.

In an immediate annuity, the investor automatically begins to receive lump sum pay-outs immediately upon investing your money. Payments start usually a month after you have invested into the annuity. This offers financial security in a sense that you will receive income payments for the rest of your life. Also, this annuity permits you to:

Add your pay-outs received in your current income
Pay taxes on the portion of the annuity payments that are considered to be earning

Immediate annuities can be fixed or variable. Fixed immediate annuity payments are attached to the amount that you have contributed, your age, and the existing interest rate at the time you have purchased the annuity. These said payments are already fixed. Variable immediate annuities vary according to the type of investments you purchased.

What is a tax-sheltered annuity?

Tax-sheltered annuity is a retirement savings program limited to public educational institution employees and members of non-profit organizations. Contributions to a tax-sheltered annuity are made by the employers of the participating employee. These are deducted from the participants income payments and sent to the insurance agency or mutual fund guardian elected by the participant.

What is a lifetime annuity?

A lifetime annuity is a type of immediate annuity wherein upon investing you automatically receive guaranteed income payments for the rest of your life. The income you will receive from the lifetime annuity plan will depend on the amount of money you will invest and the existing rates at the time you made the investment.

Annuities may be a useful tool for those who want a steady stream of income throughout their lives. While most annuities include a death benefit, an annuity is almost the opposite of a life insurance policy – annuities offer financial protection against outliving your income.

Buying an annuity can be a complicated decision. Following are a few key considerations for buyers before deciding whether to purchase annuity policies:

* Review all of your other savings plans, pensions or retirement funds to determine whether you need an annuity and whether the annuity you are considering is the right one for you based on your age, financial status, investment objective and risk tolerance. Is there a possibility that you could outlive your assets? Will you keep the annuity long enough so that the charges do not eat up your investment?

* Determine whether you want your investment to be steady and fixed or variable. While variable products offer an opportunity to capitalize on market highs, they also carry additional risk in a downturn.

* Be careful about exchanging one variable product for another. For instance, exchanging a variable annuity for a fixed or equity-indexed product may result in a “surrender charge” and higher annual fees, along with a new period of time during which you cannot withdraw money from your account without substantial surrender charges. Always check the schedule of surrender charges and other fees. They may be higher on the variable annuity with the bonus credit than they were on the annuity you already own.

* Make certain the company from which you are considering buying an annuity product is reputable. A good place to start is to look for the Insurance Marketplace Standards Association logo. Only companies that have proven through extensive outside review that they adhere to IMSA’s stringent Principles and Code of Ethical Market Conduct can display this logo. Visit www.IMSAethics.org to see if the company is listed and for other information.

* Be sure the company offering the annuity product is financially strong. Many independent services rate the financial strength of insurance companies, such as Standard & Poor’s Insurance Rating Services (www.standardandpoors.com), Moody’s Investor Services Inc. (www.moodys.com), Fitch Ratings Inc. (www.fitchratings.com) and A.M. Best Co. (www.ambest.com).

* Check with your state’s insurance department to be sure the company you’re considering buying from is licensed to do business in your state.

* Remember, an annuity is a legally binding document. Read the annuity contract carefully and be sure your agent has answered your questions thoroughly before you buy. – NU

While many people are with their bank because theyre used to them or because it seems like an unwanted hassle to change accounts, there can be benefits to shopping around. And just because you keep your main account in one bank, theres no need to keep all your accounts or credit cards with one firm.

If you have a poor credit rating or a large overdraft, you may find it harder to change banks, but some banks will buy your overdraft from you, or offer to convert it into a loan. For a small fee you can request details of your credit rating from Equifax or Experian the two leading credit reference agencies.

Convenience

Depending on your circumstances, you may find youd be better off with one of the new internet banks, like Smile or Cahoot. These can give better interest rates, because they have lower overheads than high street banks that have to run branches in real time. On the other hand, you may rather stick with a large bank you know and trust perhaps you have a good relationship with your branch manager and can expect extra support when you need it. The larger banks also have plentiful local branches, which could be a plus point if you need to, say, pay in cheques frequently.

Terms

While interest rates are an important consideration, there are other factors to take into account when choosing a bank, such as bank charges. Some banks will charge more than others, for example, if you exceed your overdraft limit or if a cheque bounces. Others will charge extra to provide you with copies of statements. Check that the bank complies with the Banking Code, a UK body that promotes best practise in the financial sector.

Bear in mind too, that some banks will offer excellent terms for new customers in order to attract your business, so it may be worthwhile swapping just to take advantage of these. You may find a lower-interest loan, for example, with a new bank.

Bank policy and corporate ethos

Some institutions offer ethical banking, so that you can be sure your money is not being used to fund companies who do not conform to certain criteria. The Co-operative Bank led the way in ethical banking, but there are other banks and investment companies to choose from.

As well as the larger high street banks, there are smaller banks, building societies and friendly societies to consider. While normally associated with savings, some offer current accounts with attractive rates, and many of the new building societies are in fact indistinguishable from banks.

Most people would never consider installing a new transmission in their car by themselves. They don’t have the time or skills, so they hire a mechanic for peace of mind. Many of today’s investors take the same approach to investing and get expert advice from an experienced financial adviser.

The 77 million Americans who are preparing to enter retirement want to ensure their savings won’t run out. The average investor, however, doesn’t understand market fluctuations or complex financial products. Studies show that those who seek the advice of a financial adviser are more confident about their financial futures-but how do you find the right person for the job?

Step 1-Identify your needs. Whether you need assistance with retirement planning or saving for your children’s education, you should define your financial objectives before you begin your search for an adviser.

Step 2-Ask friends, family and co-workers to make recommendations. Your financial adviser should be someone you trust-you’re putting your hard-earned money in their hands.

Step 3-Interview at least three advisers before making the final selection.

During the interview process, there are many factors to consider. Look for an adviser who has extensive experience in multiple areas, including investments, insurance and retirement planning. You will also want to inquire about the adviser’s licensing-he or she should have a Series 6 or 7 registration in good standing. You can check an adviser’s record by contacting the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) at (800) 289-9999.

Once you’ve confirmed that the adviser has a good track record, it’s time to delve deeper into his or her personality. A good adviser will consider all aspects of your financial situation and design a customized plan to help you achieve your goals. He or she will provide the same level of service to all clients, regardless of how much they invest. It’s also critical that your adviser’s “investment philosophy” is consistent with your own. For example, an adviser who favors risky strategies is not a good match for a conservative investor.

Your net worth equals what you own minus what you owe. It is commonly referred to as the difference between your total assets and your total liabilities.

Heres a simple illustration:

Home Value = $350,000   Mortgage balance = $150,000
Investments = 100,000     Credit cards = 20,000
Auto = 45,000                  Auto loans = 30,000
Savings = 15,000             Bank loan = 4,000
You Own = $510,000        You Owe = $204,000

Therefore, your net worth would be $306,000.

There are two ways to increase your net worth. You can own more things or you can reduce your debt obligation. This article will focus on reducing your debt first because it is the fastest way to generate more money and, then, buy (own) more things.

In our example, you have $204,000 of debt. If youre like most people, you pay less attention to the mortgage and car loan balances because you consider them to be rather normal (necessary) to your way of life.

The credit card companies are probably charging somewhere between 12 to 18 percent (forget those slick, short-lived introductory teasers) and the bank loan is probably around 6 percent.

Now, before we go further let me ask you a question. Which is faster? Create $204,000 (in other words, own more) … or reduce $204,000 of debt? In both instances, the result is the same because your net worth will have increased by the same amount.

To create $204,000 in 15 years, you would have to invest $6,956.69 each year for 15 years and receive a guaranteed 8 percent rate of return. Where can you find a guaranteed rate of return this high in todays marketplace? No where!

To reduce $204,000 of debt in 13.5 years, it takes only $100 extra each month. Now, lets make sure you understand what I just said.

To increase your net worth by $204,000 you must invest almost $7,000 each year for 15 years. You hope and pray youll receive no less than 8 percent average every year.

Or… you can come up with only $100 each month to reduce 100% of your debt (to include your mortgage) in only 13.5 years — guaranteed! Hard to believe isnt it?

Go ahead and check it out yourself. First, use a compound interest table to compute the investment requirement. Then, print this
debt reduction chart. Youll need an Adobe Reader, which is probably already installed on your computer. Otherwise, go to adobe.com for a free download version.

In every instance, it is faster and more reliable to eliminate your liabilities than to increase your assets. Why? Because the interest you pay on your debt is excessively higher than the guaranteed interest you can earn.

By following the debt chart and adding an additional $100 each month to the minimum payment requirement, you can dramatically compound the effect of your payments and expedite the complete elimination of all your debt.

Its a lot easier to come up with $100 extra each month than it is to find $6,956.69 each and every year for the next 15 years.

Journal Communications (JRN) is comprised of seven essentially separate businesses: The Milwaukee Sentinel, Community Newspapers, Television Stations, Radio Stations, Telecommunications, Printing Services, and Direct Marketing. The companys five reportable segments do not exactly match these seven businesses; however, I believe an investor should analyze JRN on the basis of these seven businesses and their constituent properties, rather than as a single going concern with five reportable business segments. Additional reasons for this belief will be outlined below. For now, it is sufficient to say that if Journal Communications were to divide into seven separate public companies, the combined market value of those companies would be substantially greater than JRNs current enterprise value. Simply put, the sum of the parts would be valued more highly than the whole.

Journal Communications has an enterprise value of just under $1 billion. Pre-tax owners earnings are probably around $125 million. So, JRN trades at eight times pre-tax owners earnings. Thats cheap.

Journals effective tax rate is 40%. That is an unusually high rate. Journals media properties would likely generate more after-tax income under different ownership. The difference would be material; but, for anyone other than a highly leveraged buyer, tax savings would not be a primary consideration. When evaluating Journal as a going concern, it is perfectly appropriate to treat the full 40% tax burden as a reality. These taxes reduce owners earnings by $50 million.

With after-tax owners earnings of $75 million and an enterprise value of $1 billion, Journals owners earnings yield is 7.5%. Remember, this is the after-tax yield. The pre-tax yield is 12.5%. When evaluating a company, its best to use the pre-tax yield for purposes of comparison. Last I checked, the 30 year Treasury bond was yielding 4.63%. So, looking at JRNs current earnings alone, the stock appears to offer a large margin of safety.

This is especially true if you consider the fact that earnings yields offer more protection against inflation than bond yields. They dont offer perfect protection. But, with stocks, there is at least the possibility that nominal cash flows will increase along with inflation. The cash flows generated by bonds are fixed in nominal terms, and therefore offer no protection against inflation.

When evaluating a long-term investment, such as a stock, I do not use a discount rate of less than 8%. This reduces JRNs margin of safety considerably. Instead of being the difference between 12.5% and 4.63%, Journals margin of safety is the difference between 12.5% and 8%. Is such a margin of safety sufficient? Maybe.

When evaluating a prospective investment, I first look at the risk of a catastrophic loss. What is the magnitude? And what is the probability? For my purposes, a catastrophic loss is defined as any permanent loss of principal. The risk that Ive overvalued a business is always greater than my risk of catastrophic loss, because I insist upon a margin of safety. A catastrophic loss is one that wipes out the entire margin of safety.

I can make a bad investment without suffering a catastrophic loss. For instance, most mutual funds are bad investments, because they underperform alternatives. However, mutual funds do not usually carry a high risk of catastrophic loss. In fact, they generally have a low risk of catastrophic loss, because they are highly correlated to the overall market.

Its easiest to understand this concept if you think of valuing companies as being a lot like writing insurance. Even if reality exceeds your expectations in nine out of every ten cases, a terrible misjudgment in the tenth case can cause you great harm. It isnt just how many mistake you make. Its also how big they are.

Some stocks, like Google (GOOG), trade at prices that allow for catastrophic losses of considerable magnitude. Other stocks, like Journal Communications, trade at prices that only allow for very small losses to principal. However, there is also the matter of probability. How likely is it that a Google shareholder will suffer a catastrophic loss? I dont know. Im not even willing to hazard a guess.

In the case of Journal Communications, I am willing to stick my neck out.

I believe an investment in JRN carries a very low risk to principal considerably less than, say, an investment in the S&P 500. Why? Because Journal Communications is trading at a very modest owners earnings multiple. But, that isnt the only reason. You shouldnt look at Journal solely from a going concern perspective. JRN mainly consists of readily saleable properties. The assets backing shares JRN are quite substantial:

Publishing

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: Milwaukees only major daily and Sunday newspaper. The Sunday edition has the highest penetration rate (72%) of any Sunday newspaper in the top 50 U.S. markets. The daily edition has the third highest penetration rate (49%) of any daily newspaper in the top 50 U.S. markets. The paper has a daily circulation of 240,000 and a Sunday circulation of 425,000.

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel also operates three websites. JSOnline.com and OnWisconsin.com generate advertising revenue. PackerInsider.com is a subscription based website.

Over the last three years, both daily circulation and Sunday circulation have decreased by about 1% annually. Full run advertising linage has also fallen by a similar amount; however, after accounting for increases in part run advertising and preprint pieces, it appears there has been no real decrease in total advertising.

The Journal Sentinel generates approximately $230 million in revenue. Advertising accounts for 80% of the Journal Sentinels revenue (the other 20% is circulation revenue). Advertising revenue is somewhat cyclical, and may currently be above normal levels.

Its difficult to value the Journal Sentinel, because JRN places the Journal Sentinel and its community newspapers under one reportable segment. Even if the numbers for the Journal Sentinel were broken out, I would have still have some difficulty coming up with an exact figure, because Im not an expert on newspapers.

Having said that, I cant see how the Journal Sentinel could be worth less than $250 million or more than $500 million. If I had to put a dollar figure on the Journal Sentinel, it would probably be in the 250 $300 million range. Id like to think this is a conservative estimate, but I dont know enough about newspapers to be sure. JRNs failure to break out the numbers for the Journal Sentinel apart from the community newspapers complicates the issue. However, I am quite confident the Journal Sentinel is worth no less than $250 million.

Its even more difficult to value JRNs Journal Community Publishing Group. It consists of 43 community newspapers, 41 shoppers, and 9 niche publications (automotive, boating, etc.). The group generates about $100 million in revenue. I cant value this group apart from the Journal Sentinel, because of the aforementioned lack of disclosure (combining the group with the Journal Sentinel for reporting purposes), my inability to find enough public information on community newspaper businesses, and other such factors.

The best I can do is offer an educated guess as to the combined value of JRNs publishing business. My best guess is that, taken together, the Journal Sentinel and the community newspapers are probably worth somewhere between $300 million and $500 million.

Broadcasting

Journal Communications owns 38 radio stations. The most important of which are: WTMJ-AM Milwaukee, KMXZ-FM Tucson, KFDI-FM Wichita, and KTTS FM Springfield (MO). All four of these stations are number one in their market. JRNs radio stations generate about $80 million in revenue.

Journal Communications owns seven television stations. Almost all of these stations are ranked as one of the top three in their market. Three are NBC affiliates, three are ABC affiliates, and one is a Fox affiliate. JRN owns two stations in Milwaukee, two in Idaho, one in California, one in Michigan, and one in Nevada. Journals TV stations generate about $90 million in revenue.

Again, its too hard for me to value JRNs TV stations and radio stations separately. Taken together, I believe theyre worth somewhere between $250 and $450 million.

Telecommunications

JRN owns a 3,800 mile network in the Great Lakes region. Norlight Telecommunications generates about $150 million in revenue. Im very hesitant to make any attempts to value this division, because I dont understand the telecom business well enough. Having said that, I dont see how it could be worth much less than $350 million.

Miscellaneous

I dont like the printing services and direct marketing business at all. I have no idea how to value them. They do have revenues though; so, they are probably worth something to someone. Revenues from these two businesses exceed $100 million, but they are not very profitable.

Real Estate

JRN owns a surprising amount of unencumbered real estate. For the most part, such properties are closely tied to one of JRNs operating businesses. As long as JRN continues as a going concern, much of the real estate could not be sold. Just to give you some idea of the extent of these properties, it appears JRN owns a little less than two million square feet much of which is in or around Milwaukee. I can not accurately value such real estate. As I said, much of it is closely tied to operating activities. However, buildings in urban areas can sometimes be converted to other uses.

It hardly matters though. Journal Communications is likely to remain a going concern for some time, and as long as it does, it is unlikely to dispose of such assets.

Valuation

So, what is JRN worth? Its hard to say. The current enterprise value is around $1 billion, which is clearly too low. My most conservative estimates for the publishing, broadcasting, and telecom businesses alone add up to $900 million. I think those are very conservative estimates. Using more reasonable estimates, I can not arrive at a value of less than $1.25 billion for JRNs constituent parts. This is true whether I perform an intrinsic value analysis on the entire company, or apply some sort of earnings, sales, or EBITDA multiple to each business separately.

Journal Communications is probably worth somewhere between $1.25 billion and $2 billion. Im quite pessimistic about the newspaper business; therefore, I would lean towards the $1.25 billion figure (which assumes slightly declining revenues). Any sort of revenue growth would dramatically change the valuation. If such growth will occur, JRN is extremely undervalued at these levels. However, Im not sure there will be any growth at all.

Journal Communications voting structure will probably discourage the best course of action: breaking up the company. JRN should spin off the community newspapers, the TV stations, the radio stations, and the telecom business. The printing services and direct marketing businesses should also be disposed of in some way. These are really very different businesses. There are few good reasons for keeping them together, and many good reasons for separating them.

Newspapers, radio, and TV all face different challenges. They need different managers who have complete control over capital allocation and who are compensated based on the performance of their business, not on the performance of a hodge-podge of various media properties. Breaking JRN up will make it easier to manage and will make it easier for current owners to dispose of their shares at more favorable prices should they wish to.

If these businesses traded as five or six different public companies, it is very unlikely their combined market cap would be less than $1 billion. It may not even be necessary for them to be publicly traded. There might be buyers for such properties, if JRNs properties were separated into common sense collections.

But, none of this is likely to happen. Employees control JRN (they maintain control through the ownership of shares with disproportionate voting rights). No one interested in shaking things up will take a stake in this company, because he would be unable to impose his will. I cant imagine management ever embarking on such a sweeping venture without some prodding from the outside.

JRN has almost no downside. Sadly, it doesnt seem to have a lot of upside either. There is a real danger investors will see their returns wither away as the time it takes to realize the value in Journal Communications proves costly. Time is the enemy of the investor who buys this kind of business at this kind of price.

Objectively, I have to admit JRN is undervalued. But, Im not sure its grossly undervalued and I am sure there are better long term investments.